inFocus on seat projection models, polling aggregation, and Canada's Nate Silver

On this episode of the podcast, I’m joined by Eric Grenier, a senior writer and polls analyst at CBC. For over 10 years, Eric has been tracking the ups and downs of polls in Canada and manages the CBC’s poll tracker and seat projections. It’s been a pleasure to know him for most that time. He started doing seat projections right around the time I started Abacus Data.

He is, to some, Canada’s Nate Silver. Or maybe it’s more apt to describe Nate Silver as America’s Eric Grenier. Either way, I’m really pleased he agreed to join the podcast.

We talked about his journey to doing this work, how his seat projection model works, and what he’s seeing in recent polls and what we might expect within a possible federal election in 2021.